StatSheet Projects Vanderbilt as NCAA Tournament Bubble Team Seven Seed: 02/09/2012

Filed under StatSeed Update on February 9th, 2012
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet projects Vanderbilt as a bubble team for the NCAA Tournament with potentially a seven seed. The Commodores are unranked in the AP Poll and sit at #34 in the StatSheet StatRank with a 17-7 overall record and a 6-3 record in the SEC.

During the last four games, Vanderbilt notched a quality win against RPI #45 Middle Tennessee State and a win against LSU but also struggled with losses to AP #8 Florida and RPI #64 Arkansas.

Vanderbilt is average against top competition, with an 8-6 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 3-3 record against the RPI Top 50 but a 1-3 record against AP ranked teams. The Commodores have three quality wins including RPI #45 Middle Tennessee State, RPI #28 Alabama, and AP #18 Marquette. Their only bad loss came against RPI #113 Indiana State.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Arkansas (16-8, 4-5 SEC, StatRank #64), New Mexico (19-4, 5-2 Mountain West, StatRank #41), Minnesota (17-7, 5-6 Big Ten, StatRank #49), and Ole Miss (14-8, 4-4 SEC, StatRank #51).

The first four teams out are Brigham Young (20-6, 8-3 West Coast, StatRank #44), Colorado (16-7, 8-3 Pac 12, StatRank #64), Purdue (15-9, 5-6 Big Ten, StatRank #70), and Texas (15-9, 5-6 Big 12, StatRank #69).

The next four out are Arizona (16-8, 7-4 Pac 12, StatRank #65), Pittsburgh (15-10, 4-8 Big East, StatRank #69), St. Joseph's (PA) (15-10, 5-5 A-10, StatRank #50), and South Dakota State (19-6, 11-2 Summit League, StatRank #59).

Regional 1
#1Kentucky
#2Baylor
#3Duke
#4Florida State
#5Michigan
#6Indiana
#7Connecticut
#8Alabama
#9Harvard
#10Colorado State
#11California
#12Minnesota
#13Arkansas
#14Akron
#15Bucknell
#16Long Island
#17MVSU
Regional 2
#1Missouri
#2Florida
#3Georgetown
#4Marquette
#5UNLV
#6Louisville
#7Creighton
#8Northwestern
#9Illinois
#10Miami (FL)
#11Gonzaga
#12Ole Miss
#13Long Beach State
#14Cleveland State
#15Davidson
#16Mercer
#17Norfolk State
Regional 3
#1Ohio State
#2Kansas
#3Michigan State
#4Murray State
#5Virginia
#6Mississippi State
#7Temple
#8Seton Hall
#9Memphis
#10Notre Dame
#11Iowa State
#12New Mexico
#13MTSU
#14Iona
#15Drexel
#16Texas-Arlington
#17UNCA
Regional 4
#1Syracuse
#2North Carolina
#3Southern Miss
#4San Diego State
#5Wisconsin
#6Saint Mary's
#7Vanderbilt
#8Wichita State
#9West Virginia
#10Saint Louis
#11Kansas State
#12NC State
#13Oral Roberts
#14Washington
#15Nevada
#16Weber State
#17Stony Brook

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big East8 1650.0%
Big Ten8 1266.7%
SEC7 1258.3%
ACC6 1250.0%
Big 125 1050.0%
Mountain West4 850.0%
A-102 1414.3%
Missouri Valley2 1020.0%
West Coast2 922.2%
C-USA2 1216.7%
Pac 122 1216.7%
Horizon1 1010.0%
MEAC1 137.7%
Sun Belt1 128.3%
America East1 911.1%
Big South1 119.1%
Patriot1 812.5%
WAC1 812.5%
SWAC1 1010.0%
Summit League1 1010.0%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
Ivy League1 812.5%
Big Sky1 911.1%
CAA1 128.3%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
MAC1 128.3%
Southland1 128.3%
MAAC1 1010.0%
SoCon1 128.3%
NEC1 128.3%
Big West1 911.1%

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SEC Standings

OverallConf
1 Kentucky 38-2 16-0
2 Florida 26-11 10-6
 2Vanderbilt 25-11 10-6
2 Tennessee 19-15 10-6
5 Alabama 21-12 9-7
6 MState 21-12 8-8
6 Ole Miss 20-14 8-8
8 LSU 18-15 7-9
9 Arkansas 18-14 6-10
10 Auburn 15-16 5-11
10 Georgia 15-17 5-11
12 South Carolina 10-21 2-14
Last updated: Apr 7th, 2012

2011-2012 Roster

#3 Festus Ezeli Sr C 6-11 255
#11 Kyle Fuller So G 6-1 180
#5 L. Goulbourne Sr F 6-8 225
#40 Josh Henderson Fr C 6-11 220
#23 John Jenkins Jr G 6-4 215
#2 Kedren Johnson Fr G 6-4 215
#34 Shelby Moats Fr F 6-8 225
#14 Aaron Noll Sr F 6-7 220
#45 Rod Odom So F 6-9 207
#24 Dai-Jon Parker Fr G 6-3 190
#35 James Siakam Fr F 6-7 210
#12 Jordan Smart Jr G/F 6-6 200
#44 Jeffery Taylor Sr F 6-7 225
#33 S. Tchiengang Sr F 6-9 240
#1 Brad Tinsley Sr G 6-3 210